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They will all be in the Russian city of Kazan on Tuesday for a meeting of the BRICS bloc of developing economies, defying predictions that the war in Ukraine and an international arrest warrant against Putin would turn him into a pariah. The alliance, which aims to counterbalance the Western-led world order, initially included Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa but started to rapidly expand this year.
Russian officials already see the meeting as a massive success. And at the same time, there might be interesting opportunities coming your way, including just having more face time with all of these leaders. For Putin, the summit is important personally because it shows the failure of Western efforts to isolate him, Gabuyev said. The Kremlin will be able to talk to major players like India and China about expanding trade and bypassing Western sanctions.
India is an important market for Russian commodities, while China is where Moscow hopes to source dual-use and various military-related goods, Gabuyev said. Russia also wants more countries participating in a payment system project that would be an alternative to the global bank messaging network SWIFT, allowing Moscow to trade with partners without worrying about sanctions.
After the invasion of Ukraine, Iran provided Moscow with hundreds of drones and helped launch their production in Russia. Iran, in turn, wants sophisticated Russian weapons like long-range air defense systems and fighter jets to help fend off a possible attack by Israel. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov refused to comment when asked whether the treaty will include mutual military assistance.
For China, BRICS is among several international organizations β along with the security-focused Shanghai Cooperation Organization β through which it seeks to promote an alternative to the U. The summit will allow Xi and Putin to flaunt their close relationship. Although they will continue to present a united front, experts are watching for subtle signs of Xi distancing himself from Putin over the war. An expected Modi-Putin meeting could see some rebalancing of their ties.